A bit more was revealed today about the contract quarterback Cam Newton signed with the Carolina Panthers on Tuesday.
What Seahawks fans want to know, of course, is how Newton’s deal will impact Seattle’s negotiations with quarterback Russell Wilson.
A clearer view of the numbers, though, doesn’t lead to an easy answer. As Pro Football Talk explains, how Newton’s deal could impact Seattle/Wilson might be based in part on how each side perceives the deal — is it a starting point for negotiations (Wilson’s side) or an end point (Seattle’s)?
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The Seahawks might be glad that at least the Newton deal is now done, and they can go into the Wilson talks with that much more information about the market. But for Wilson, every QB deal resets the market just a bit, and it inevitably rises. That’s in part why you’ve heard the Wilson side preach the value of patience.
As Kelly wrote:
“Newton’s contract extension sets a bar that both Luck and Wilson will shatter — will they both get in the neighborhood of $23 million in new money average per year? What will their guarantees look like — will they surpass Rodgers’ $54 million? Both seem more likely today. Look for big-time signing bonuses for both that ensure these gunslingers are going to be making on par or more with the expected $67 million Newton will earn his first three seasons.”
Jason La Canfora of CBSSports.com also wrote that the big key is the first three years and that it is that number — the $67 million of the first three years — that could most impact future contracts. Wrote La Canfora:
“Of all the key metrics with Cam Netwon’s new mega-contract, I’m most focused on his total in the 1st years of the deal — a record $67.6M. Far and away the most ever and in a league where production, changing market values, can fluctuations and increasing cap figured invariable lead to renegotiations/new deals/players being cut after 3 yrs, I’d focus on this number. Flacco, for instance, will have to re-do his deal after his 3d year (in 2016) and that’s the norm. This is a big-time contract for Cam and Russell Wilson, Andrew Luck and Eli Manning will be among those smiling brightest as these numbers are digested by NFL teams.”
I also asked Fitzgerald for some thoughts on how the Newton deal might impact Seattle and Wilson. Here’s what he wrote:
“I think the contract for Newton certainly strengthens the case for Wilson, though it wasn’t really a big surprise … once Ryan Tannehill signed his extension I think it was pretty obvious that this is in the realm of what Newton would receive.
“Newton will be a logical comparison for Wilson since neither has what has been considered a great supporting cast nor have they put up the type of big numbers that have been put up by the Aaron Rodgers of the world.
“Though Wilson doesn’t have the draft pedigree of Newton, he is regarded as a winner and the ultimate team player, which should push him beyond Newton.
“I feel as if the recent group of contract extensions coming for the 2011/12 draft classes will mimic the manner in which the 2004 one played out. In that one Ben Roethlisberger was the first to sign and he was then jumped by Eli Manning and Philip Rivers, who ended up the top two highest-paid players in the NFL for a season or two. It’s probably in Seattle’s best interest to get a contract done before Andrew Luck or Manning/Rivers get new contracts. The market is only increasing, and Wilson can make a case to surpass any one of those players or be slightly under them.”
One thing to watch could be if Seattle starts making a move to get a deal done with Bobby Wagner, who like Wilson has one year left on his rookie contract and can be extended. The perception has been that the Seahawks have been focused first on getting a deal done with Wilson and then working on Wagner. Moving on to Wagner might be viewed by some as a sign that Seattle acknowledges a deal with Wilson might not get done before the 2015 season.